Guinea elections: Who’s running and what’s at stake?

Guinea is set to hold presidential elections on December 28, 2025, four years after military leader General Mamady Doumbouya seized power in a coup that toppled the civilian government. Doumbouya, recognised for his signature wraparound sunglasses, is widely expected to win, as key opposition figures have been barred from participating, raising questions about the competitiveness of the vote.

The election is seen as a move to legitimise Doumbouya’s rule, rather than a genuine contest for power. With Guinea’s population of 15 million, the country is rich in natural resources, holding some of the world’s largest deposits of iron ore, bauxite, diamonds, gold, and uranium. Doumbouya’s government is counting on these resources, particularly the Simandou iron ore project, to boost employment and generate revenue, consolidating his political and economic control.

Observers warn that the election, with limited opposition, could reinforce authoritarian tendencies and delay democratic reforms. Despite this, the vote is a key milestone for Doumbouya to present a veneer of legitimacy both domestically and internationally. Analysts also note that Guinea’s resource wealth makes the outcome significant for foreign investors and neighbouring countries, as stability in the West African nation affects regional economic and security dynamics.